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Article #7184

Re: Reason for SSTO/DCX and Market

#7184
From: Allen W. Sherzer
Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1993 21:15
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In article <ewright.728250408@convex.convex.com> ewright@convex.com (Edward V. Wright) writes:

>>The ticket will cost (round trip) $100,000 to $200,000 (assuming you pack
>>them in like sardiens for a very uncomfortable trip). 

>On what do you base that estimate?  

50 people flying round trip (and in a 15X15X30 space it won't be
comfortable) at a cost of $5M to $10M per flight.

>What I heard from Boeing was "an order of magnitude more than 
>existing jet aircraft," which puts it an order of magnitude 
>below your figures.  Other estimates support this.

round trip to Australia is about $3,000 so Boeing is estimating
$30,000 or so which is well below an order of magnitude less than
my estimate.

As to the difference, there are too many factors which could expalin
it. Indeed, it may be possible to cut the cost to $30K in volume but
you won't be able to offer those prices initially. As it is I don't
think the market for $30,000 airline tickets is that great.

>As for being packed in like sardines, have you ever flown a 
>cattle ca... er, jet airliner?  

You need to compare it to first class.

>I'd rather spend 45 minutes,
>stuffed into a rocket, than 12 hours stuffed into an airplane.

All things being equal, so would I. However, I wouldn't pay
$27,000 more for it. Would you?

  Allen

-- 
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Allen W. Sherzer | "A great man is one who does nothing but leaves        |
|  aws@iti.org     |  nothing undone"                                       |
+----------------------138 DAYS TO FIRST FLIGHT OF DCX----------------------+
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Message-ID: <1993Jan28.211519.20005@iti.org>
Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!hela.iti.org!aws
References: <1993Jan27.190643.1@acad3.alaska.edu> <1993Jan28.135651.18692@iti.org> <ewright.728250408@convex.convex.com>

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Newsgroups: sci.space
Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!hela.iti.org!aws
From: aws@iti.org (Allen W. Sherzer)
Subject: Re: Reason for SSTO/DCX and Market
Message-ID: <1993Jan28.211519.20005@iti.org>
Organization: Evil Geniuses for a Better Tomorrow
References: <1993Jan27.190643.1@acad3.alaska.edu> <1993Jan28.135651.18692@iti.org> <ewright.728250408@convex.convex.com>
Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1993 21:15:19 GMT
Lines: 41