🚀 go-pugleaf

In article <1993Jan7.152456.25477@mksol.dseg.ti.com> pyron@skndiv.dseg.ti.com  
(Dillon Pyron) writes:
> BTW, the STS [Space Transporation System/the Shuttle]
> is the safest transportation system we have, based on fatalities
> per passenger mile.  But who would pay $1 billion apiece for a 747?  (Please
> attach a smiley to the safety record).

The rating of transportation system safety by fatalities per 
passenger mile always struck me as bogus.  Subjectively, what
matters is the probability of exit.  That is if I climb in and
close the door, what are my chances of opening the door and
climbing out.  By this measure the STS is only about 1 in 50, 
although it probably isn't as dangerous as, say, a fighter in combat.

Does anyone have any idea how various means of transport rate 
according to probability of exit.  Is the private car better than
a commerical airliner?  {Lots of safe little trips would up the
exit probability.}
--
Thomas Clarke
Institute for Simulation and Training, University of Central FL
12424 Research Parkway, Suite 300, Orlando, FL 32826
(407)658-5030, FAX: (407)658-5059, clarke@acme.ucf.edu