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Article #69

Re: A thought experiment... Is it possible tha the Walk for AIDS will result in enough new cases of HIV and AIDS to consume all...

#69
From: Richard Ulrich
Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2008 23:35
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On Sat, 31 May 2008 22:58:11 -0700 (PDT), the zak
<don.saklad@gmail.com> wrote:

> A thought experiment... during the upcoming Walk for AIDS is it
> possible that one person will meet another who has HIV infection,
> whether they know it or not, and have sex? Is it possible that
> infection could be passed along to an uninfected person? Considering
> statistical information on the spread of HIV, could it happen at least
> one person after meeting another person during the AIDS walk will get
> infected? Two people? Three people? Four people? More? How much money
> is raised by the Walk for AIDS? How much does it cost for a person's
> treatment from when HIV infection is detected until death?
> 
> Is it possible that the AIDS Walk will result in enough new cases of
> HIV and AIDS to consume all the funds generated by the event?

Nah, you have to look at something like what
the economists have as "opportunity costs".

In this case -- If they weren't doing something healthy,
like "walking", wouldn't the worst of these folks be
hanging out in bars and taking drugs or finding sex
partners?

I guess it is possible that the "healthy" affects of 
outdoor activity might have a better health outcome
than whatever can be bought with the money raised....
Seems to me you are 'way off base.

-- 
Rich Ulrich 

http://www.pitt.edu/~wpilib/index.html
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From: Richard Ulrich <Rich.Ulrich@comcast.net>
Newsgroups: sci.stat.math,sci.stat.edu,bionet.population-bio
Subject: Re: A thought experiment... Is it possible tha the Walk for AIDS will  result in enough new cases of HIV and AIDS to consume all the funds generated  by the event?
Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2008 19:35:09 -0400
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