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Article #110

Re: Outsider viewpoint of CA power crisis

#110
From: John Navas
Date: Tue, 22 May 2001 03:29
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[POSTED TO ba.general - REPLY ON USENET PLEASE]

In <B72EEF9D.3DA22%no-spam@RadioMonopoly.com> on Mon, 21 May 2001
16:15:25 -0700, John Higdon <no-spam@RadioMonopoly.com> wrote:

>in article 4veO6.207$sA6.10935@typhoon.sonic.net, John Navas  wrote:
>
>> The problem with that logic is that sellers know the highest price you
>> are willing to pay, which substantially reduces their motivation to bid
>> lower prices.  Because there are relatively few sellers with
>> considerable market power, normal supply and demand doesn't necessarily
>> apply.
>
>It certainly does during off-peak periods. There is plenty of loose power
>during off-peak times and moderate-climate days. ...

I don't share your confidence, but I hope you're right.

>> The smart buyer never discloses to sellers the actual highest price the
>> buyer is willing to pay.
>
>Does the Buyer's Cartel have to reveal today's "top price"? A supplier can
>quote the rate and the cartel can say "no thanks". Only if the sellers get
>together and talk amongst themselves about the rates being charged
>(otherwise known as "collusion") would they even be able to figure out
>today's cap.

I think it would be pretty easy for buyers to "game" the market and
figure out the cap.

>Tomorrow's cap is a new ball game.

I doubt that the "Buyer's Cartel" would be able to manage a changing
cap.  Political realities and all that sort of thing.

-- 
Best regards,
John Navas     <http://navasgrp.home.att.net/>
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From: John Navas <spamfilter@navasgrp.dublin.ca.us>
Newsgroups: sdnet.general,ba.general,la.general
Subject: Re: Outsider viewpoint of CA power crisis
Organization: The Navas Group, Dublin, CA, USA
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