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Article #123

Re: Outsider viewpoint of CA power crisis

#123
From: Jeffrey Siegal
Date: Fri, 18 May 2001 05:39
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John Higdon wrote:
> What we should have been doing all along is to refuse to pay the exorbitant
> prices...period. If that would mean dropping load (rolling blackouts), then
> that is what it would mean. Once the generators learn that they are not
> going to get astronomical prices for on-peak electricity, you can bet the
> price will drop like a stone.

What price would you suggest?  

While I might agree that it would be better to simply allow blackouts
than to pay extreme peaks of $1900/mWh, these don't happen that often. 
The cost most of the time is in the range of $200/mWh, and that
approximates natural gas costs.  By contrast, the cost built into the
rate structure is only about $60/mWh.  

If you were to refuse to pay more than $60/mWh, you would lose nearly
all of the natural gas fired capacity, because they simply could not
afford to pay for fuel (and pollution credits) at that price.  About 35%
of the capacity goes offline.  Since nearly 50% of the customers are
exempt from rolling blackouts for political or technical reasons, the
rest of us would be subject to "rolling" blackouts 60+% of the time!
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From: Jeffrey Siegal <jbs@quiotix.com>
Newsgroups: sdnet.general,ba.general,la.general
Subject: Re: Outsider viewpoint of CA power crisis
Date: Thu, 17 May 2001 22:39:57 -0700
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