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Article #99Re: Outsider viewpoint of CA power crisis
From: Jeffrey Siegal
Date: Thu, 24 May 2001 08:32
Date: Thu, 24 May 2001 08:32
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2455 bytes
John Higdon wrote: > > A: 50 units @ $0.10 > > B: 45 units @ $0.12 > > C: 5 units @ $0.20 > > > > As currently structured all 100 units are purchased at $0.20 > > giving A an unexpected profit of $5.00 and B $3.60. > > > > It is one thing for seller A to look at the market and see that > > C was able to sell at a higher price and raise his to $0.19 > > in hopes of getting more profit, it is another for the government > > to mandate the extra profit regardless of the offered price! > > What should possibly happen is to take A and B at $0.12 and tell C to take a > hike. That is a perfectly legitimate action. It certainly is, but in reality I don't think it is going to be feasible to do that to any great extent. Natural-gas fired capacity, for example, is very expensive to operate given current natural gas prices (hundreds of dollars per mWh in recent months) and represents about 30% of California's total capacity. If you set the price below that threshold, natural gas plants are better off shutting down than producing. Given that about half of the demand is exempt from rolling blackouts, rest of us would be subject to rolling blackouts an average of 60% of the time (probably more during periods of high demand). That's really just not feasible.
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X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit X-Google-Thread: f824f,af5e5edc3039a6a2 X-Google-Attributes: gidf824f,public X-Google-Thread: 107d03,af5e5edc3039a6a2 X-Google-Attributes: gid107d03,public X-Google-Thread: 10b619,af5e5edc3039a6a2 X-Google-Attributes: gid10b619,public X-Google-ArrivalTime: 2001-05-24 01:32:17 PST Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!archiver1.google.com!newsfeed.google.com!newsfeed.stanford.edu!sn-xit-01!sn-post-01!supernews.com!corp.supernews.com!not-for-mail From: Jeffrey Siegal <jbs@quiotix.com> Newsgroups: sdnet.general,ba.general,la.general Subject: Re: Outsider viewpoint of CA power crisis Date: Thu, 24 May 2001 01:32:14 -0700 Organization: Posted via Supernews, http://www.supernews.com Message-ID: <3B0CC70E.58789AF7@quiotix.com> X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.77 [en] (WinNT; U) X-Accept-Language: en MIME-Version: 1.0 References: <9e1rc7$gdj$1@slb1.atl.mindspring.net> <3b0558ea.291284937@nntp.cts.com> <3B0567E7.76FB3EF1@quiotix.com> <3B0C3D46.25DB4187@ebay.sun.com> <B7320579.3E2AA%no-spam@RadioMonopoly.com> Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Complaints-To: newsabuse@supernews.com Lines: 26