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Article #1837

Re: WHAT WILL LIFE LOOK LIKE IN 3000 AD?

#1837
From: Gary Forbis
Date: Mon, 15 Jan 1996 00:00
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In article <JMC.96Jan13205751@Steam.stanford.edu>, jmc@Steam.stanford.edu (John McCarthy) writes:
|> John Hoopes tells us to look at archeology for clues as to what
|> humanity will be like in 3000AD.  Then he goes on to make short range
|> predictions that seem completely unconnected with the "lessons of the
|> past".
|> 
|> 30 percent of American households have computers.  Europe is much
|> further behind the U.S. in personal use of computers than it normally
|> is in new technology.  My guess is that the use of computers has been
|> heavily connected with the English language and American culture.

Computer use is also male dominated.  I wonder if it represents an American
male solution to problems.

|> Those Europeans who do use English have not brought many of their fellow
|> countrymen up to speed.
|> 
|> I expect Europe to catch up.  I expect the poor countries also to
|> catch up - but more slowly.
|> 
|> Does archeology somehow tell us that the gap between rich and poor
|> will widen, or is it that most archeologists share quite contemporary
|> liberal prejudices about such matters?

I wonder the same thing.  (well, except for the "contemporary liberal
prejudices" part.)  My felling is that technology stability favors more
even distribution where change favors concentration.  I don't know what
the numbers say.


-- 
--gary forbis@u.washington.edu
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From: forbis@cac.washington.edu (Gary Forbis )
Subject: Re: WHAT WILL LIFE LOOK LIKE IN 3000 AD?
Date: 1996/01/15
Message-ID: <4dcd68$opi@nntp5.u.washington.edu>
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references: <NEWTNews.24704.821471909.wissprod@pi-user.pi.net>  <jsneadDL2Guq.AAE@netcom.com>  <1996Jan13.210601.111812@kuhub.cc.ukans.edu> <JMC.96Jan13205751@Steam.stanford.edu>
organization: UW Computing
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