Thread View: uk.transport
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Started by JMS
Thu, 10 Jun 2010 17:55
Pedestrian Injuries - Clarification
Author: JMS
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 17:55
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 17:55
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Once upon-a-time a hospital (Kings College) decided to look at pedestrian injuries caused by falls on uneven pavements. In a 90 day period data were collected on 100 patients with injuries attributed to tripping on uneven pavements. The majority of injuries in the study were of a minor nature. One of these patients had a broken leg - and died post operatively. The research does not state whether this single death was directly attributed to the fall. Given that there were 100 people treated over 90 days- this permitted the authors to surmise that they *may* see 400 people as a result of such falls in a year. This in turn leads them to surmise that with extrapolation to a national level there *may* be upwards of 60,000 "similar" cases. The research does not give the ages of the people in the research - however a number were certainly over sixty That is all true - and it all happened twenty years ago. The fairy story is, not what is stated above, but how some people eg Tony Raven misrepresent this "research" (even allowing for his factor of ten error) "A study of admissions to Kings College Hospital in London estimates in excess of 60,000 hospital attendances nationwide a year from trips and falls on uneven pavements with a 1% mortality rate. So about 6,000 deaths a year or 16 a day." Clarification: They certainly came no-where near suggesting that there would be 6000 deaths a year nationwide. They mentioned no figure. They did not even state whether the single death which they observed was caused by the fall. (The patient was being treated fore a broken leg)
Re: Pedestrian Injuries TROLL WARNING
Author: Paul Bird
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 18:30
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 18:30
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<snip>
Re: Pedestrian Injuries - Clarification
Author: john wright
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 19:12
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 19:12
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On 10/06/2010 18:55, JMS wrote: > > Once upon-a-time a hospital (Kings College) decided to look at > pedestrian injuries caused by falls on uneven pavements. > > In a 90 day period data were collected on 100 patients with injuries > attributed to tripping on uneven pavements. > > The majority of injuries in the study were of a minor nature. One of > these patients had a broken leg - and died post operatively. The > research does not state whether this single death was directly > attributed to the fall. > > Given that there were 100 people treated over 90 days- this permitted > the authors to surmise that they *may* see 400 people as a result of > such falls in a year. > > This in turn leads them to surmise that with extrapolation to a > national level there *may* be upwards of 60,000 "similar" cases. > > The research does not give the ages of the people in the research - > however a number were certainly over sixty > > That is all true - and it all happened twenty years ago. I got a severe injury (which troubles me to this day on occasion) caused by an uneven pavement when I was only 21. Shows it can happen even to young people. This was in Worksop. -- John Wright Use your imagination Marvin! Life's bad enough as it is - why invent any more of it.
Re: Pedestrian Injuries TROLL WARNING
Author: JMS
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 21:32
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 21:32
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On Thu, 10 Jun 2010 19:30:51 +0100, Paul Bird <paul@NOSPAMcamtutor.co.uk> wrote: ><snip> Hello Dicky - may I call you that? I wonder why you did what you did - did you think your post would become part of the thread which I started? Could you explain why you did not like me clarifying what Raven had corrupted? Psycholist perhaps: Noun - Psycholist Pronunciation Key : psy�cho�list. Origin: based on the outbursts of a rabid Psycholist called Guy Chapman A cyclist who is one of a small group who frequent the news group uk.rec.cycling they have invented their own "language" to justify their views: Examples: 1) "cycle helmet" - they would rather pretend that such devices do not exist; they will try and overcome their problem by using the alternative "h*l*et" - or just "h" for short; "lids", and other alternatives may also be used. 2) "all pedestrians should be required to wear helmets" is a common attempt to ridicule suggestions that cyclists should wear helmets. 3) They cannot bring themselves to use the word: "facility" in the context of a "cycling facility". Whatever the facility - they must try and ridicule it as they will not be able to fully comprehend the benefits as seen for all road users. This is achieved by using the alternative "farcility". 4) "Cager" is used provocatively instead of the word "motorist", in the hope that it irritates motorists; it doesn't - it makes them laugh at the psycholist's inadequacies. 5) "Magic paint" - only used by the most inflicted psycholists. Used to describe signage to cyclist on pavements. Origin unknown. 6) The word "troll" is in common usage in Usenet. However, the psycholists have adopted it for their own use to apply to anyone who disagrees with their ingrained and irrational views. This enables them to say "ignore him - he is a troll" when faced with facts which are too unpalatable for the psycholist to contemplate - never mind discuss in a sensible fashion. 7) BSO : a bicycle shaped object. If someone's bicycle is not top of the range, costing at least �500 with disc brakes, and at least 73 LEDs at the front and 67 when viewed from the rear, then it cannot be called a bicycle. Anything bought from Halfrauds (sic) must be a BSO. 8) "Peloton" - a rabble of psycholists who think they are above the law. 9) Whenever they hear of a cyclist being killed in an accident - they are obliged to say things like "My thoughts are with his/her family" when they have had no dealings with them whatsoever. This is commonly called a wankcry. Not everyone who frequents the group URC is a "psycholist". Psycholists are not very bright in general and are obliged to demonstrate that they lack common sense; they are very good at this. A common pseudonym for a "psycholist" is "fuckwit". -- Many cyclists are proving the need for registration by their contempt for the Highway Code and laws. The answer: All cyclists over 16 to take compulsory test, have compulsory insurance, and be registered. Registration number to be clearly visible on the back of mandatory hi-viz vest. Habitual law breakers' cycles confiscated and crushed. (With thanks to KeithT for the idea)
Re: Pedestrian Injuries TROLL WARNING
Author: pk
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 21:58
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 21:58
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"JMS" <jmsmith2010@live.co.uk > wrote in message news:99m216p9788esccr71jc79pl7d5gg2rqru@4ax.com... > On Thu, 10 Jun 2010 19:30:51 +0100, Paul Bird > <paul@NOSPAMcamtutor.co.uk> wrote: > >><snip> > > > > Hello Dicky - may I call you that? > > > I wonder why you did what you did - did you think your post would > become part of the thread which I started? > > Could you explain why you did not like me clarifying what Raven had > corrupted? > I was interested in your clarification - which was consistent with the selective and deliberate misquoting that has plagued urc for years. But: Could you pleas give a reference to the work or source of your info, I'd like to check it for myself Ta pk
Re: Pedestrian Injuries TROLL WARNING
Author: JMS
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 22:04
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 22:04
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On Thu, 10 Jun 2010 22:58:42 +0100, "pk" <pgk2@hotmail.co.uk> wrote: <snip> >But: Could you pleas give a reference to the work or source of your info, >I'd like to check it for myself > >Ta > >pk Sorry - I should have done that: http://emj.bmj.com/content/8/4/263.abstract You can register for free - and then download the full PDF. -- "wearing helmets can sometimes increase the chance of a cyclist being involved in an accident." That august body The CTC (They've already had a slap for lying by the ASA)
Re: Pedestrian Injuries TROLL WARNING
Author: pk
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 22:39
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 22:39
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"JMS" <jmsmith2010@live.co.uk > wrote in message news:o4o216d4t201frtul27potkr79fbclnc4l@4ax.com... > On Thu, 10 Jun 2010 22:58:42 +0100, "pk" <pgk2@hotmail.co.uk> wrote: > > <snip> > > >>But: Could you pleas give a reference to the work or source of your info, >>I'd like to check it for myself >> >>Ta >> >>pk > > > Sorry - I should have done that: > > http://emj.bmj.com/content/8/4/263.abstract thank you, I'll have a look pk
Re: Pedestrian Injuries TROLL WARNING
Author: The Medway Handyman
Date: Fri, 11 Jun 2010 00:07
Date: Fri, 11 Jun 2010 00:07
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Paul Bird wrote: > <snip> Cyclinglish translated to English; Troll; Someone who has made a point I can't answer. -- Dave - intelligent enough to realise that a push bike is a kid's toy, not a viable form of transport.
Re: Pedestrian Injuries TROLL WARNING
Author: Kev Bishop
Date: Fri, 11 Jun 2010 01:35
Date: Fri, 11 Jun 2010 01:35
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"JMS" <jmsmith2010@live.co.uk > wrote in message news:99m216p9788esccr71jc79pl7d5gg2rqru@4ax.com... > On Thu, 10 Jun 2010 19:30:51 +0100, Paul Bird > <paul@NOSPAMcamtutor.co.uk> wrote: > >><snip> > > > > Hello Dicky - may I call you that? > > > I wonder why you did what you did - did you think your post would > become part of the thread which I started? > > Could you explain why you did not like me clarifying what Raven had > corrupted? > Paul Bird is known to accuse anyone not following the pro-cyclist in any situation mantra as a troll, don't worry about it, it says far more about his ability to comprehend a discussion than the attributes of those he so tars.
Re: Pedestrian Injuries - Clarification
Author: Clive D. W. Feather
Date: Fri, 11 Jun 2010 16:59
Date: Fri, 11 Jun 2010 16:59
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In message <15921698mvd670s3cmhqmcrhglu4ekbmmf@4ax.com>, JMS <jmsmith2010@live.co.uk> wrote: >"A study of admissions to Kings College Hospital in London estimates >in excess of 60,000 hospital attendances nationwide a year from trips >and falls on uneven pavements with a 1% mortality rate. So about >6,000 deaths a year or 16 a day." 1% of 60,000 per annum is 600 per annum or about 1.6 per day. Of course, until you know whether or not >the single death which they observed >was caused by the fall you can't say whether that "1% mortality" is even correct, either. Plus, of course, at such small numbers the 1% has a huge margin for error. If the rate was actually 3% there would be a probability of 15% that there would only be one death; similarly, if it was actually 0.3% there would be a 22% probability of one death (and a 3.7% chance of more than one). -- Clive D.W. Feather | Home: <clive@davros.org> Mobile: +44 7973 377646 | Web: <http://www.davros.org> Please reply to the Reply-To address, which is: <clive@davros.org>
Re: Pedestrian Injuries - Clarification
Author: pk
Date: Fri, 11 Jun 2010 17:36
Date: Fri, 11 Jun 2010 17:36
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"Clive D. W. Feather" <clive@davros.org> wrote in message news:xcvlvNoqtmEMFwsZ@romana.davros.org... > In message <15921698mvd670s3cmhqmcrhglu4ekbmmf@4ax.com>, JMS > <jmsmith2010@live.co.uk> wrote: >>"A study of admissions to Kings College Hospital in London estimates >>in excess of 60,000 hospital attendances nationwide a year from trips >>and falls on uneven pavements with a 1% mortality rate. So about >>6,000 deaths a year or 16 a day." > > 1% of 60,000 per annum is 600 per annum or about 1.6 per day. > > Of course, until you know whether or not >>the single death which they observed >>was caused by the fall > you can't say whether that "1% mortality" is even correct, either. the 1% (1 patient ie a rounded %) died post - operatively having "sustained a fractured neck of the femur requiring fixation"...... I interpret that as being most likely an elderly person not up the operation. The paper also notes the "several roads in close proximity to the hospital were identified but this may be a reflection of easy access to prompt treatment rather than an identification of a dangerous area" ie fall over outside a hospital and pop in to get the cut dressed fall over close to home,go home to clean up. the data are not representative, no attempt is made to deal with that issue in the data used when extrapolating nationally btw the paper was not on pedestrian safety, but "injuries due to falls as a result of uneven pavements" pk
Re: Pedestrian Injuries TROLL WARNING
Author: Mr. Benn
Date: Sat, 12 Jun 2010 11:23
Date: Sat, 12 Jun 2010 11:23
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"Paul Bird" <paul@NOSPAMcamtutor.co.uk> wrote in message news:87cpanFlbjU1@mid.individual.net... > <snip> Go and play with your tricycle Paul, there's a good boy.
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