Article View: alt.folklore.science
Article #1086Re: More Monty Hall
From: Cliff Heller
Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1992 16:08
Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1992 16:08
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1981 bytes
In <1992Dec22.221610.6009@panix.com> carlf@panix.com (Carl Fink) writes:
>In <1992Dec22.185741.9823@berlioz.nsc.com> worden@bouncer.nsc.com (Dennis Worden) writes:
> (I know in advance this is likely a waste of time)
It is, but what fun, eh?
> Let's examine all possible cases, okay? There are three doors,
>which we will designate alpha, beta, and gamma. The prize is behind
>door gamma, so there are three cases, namely, you pick alpha, you
>pick beta, you pick gamma.
> Case alpha: you have not picked the prize. Monty reveals the
>goat behind beta. If you switch, you pick gamma and win.
> Case beta: you have not picked the prize. Monty reveals the goat
>behind alpha. If you switch, you win.
>
> Case gamma: you have picked the prize. Monty reveals either the
>goat behind alpha or the one behind beta. If you switch, you lose.
Clear example, however the logically impaired divide case gamma into two
cases, depending on the door that Monty reveals, and it reduces to 50/50.
But keep hammering at it. Notice how they never agree to put money on it.
--
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Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!cis.ohio-state.edu!rutgers!cmcl2!panix!fnord From: fnord@panix.com (Cliff Heller) Newsgroups: alt.folklore.science Subject: Re: More Monty Hall Message-ID: <1992Dec23.160828.15552@panix.com> Date: 23 Dec 92 16:08:28 GMT References: <1992Dec18.165746.10294@cbfsb.cb.att.com> <1h4fbgINN5c5@nz12.rz.uni-karlsruhe.de> <1992Dec21.214559.22343@berlioz.nsc.com> <1992Dec21.230241.19209@colorado.edu> <1992Dec22.185741.9823@berlioz.nsc.com> <1992Dec22.221610.6009@panix.com> Distribution: usa Organization: Right Bleedin' Church of Libertine Obfuscatology Lines: 31