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Article #31758

Re: The assault on the teaching of evolution:

#31758
From: Daniel Packman
Date: Tue, 28 Dec 2004 05:39
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In article <Rx2Ad.1636811$SM5.132131@news.easynews.com>,
Sam Stone  <sirian@mental.org> wrote:
>Daniel Packman wrote:
>> In article <hgWzd.1613562$SM5.130726@news.easynews.com>,
>> Sam Stone  <sirian@mental.org> wrote:
 
 
[....issues of drilling in ANWR...]

>So you're saying it can delineate a risk and cost structure but not 
>measure cumulative cost/benefit?

Yes. Science can help us measure costs and benefits only to the
extent they are measurable. We have to decide how much to weigh
a given environmental cost (eg: X% visibility reduction, Y% loss
of a species, N dollar decline in tourism) vs costs associated
with not drilling (eg: Z% decrease in foreign oil dependence for 
M years).

>I mean that is the crux of the global warming/pollution dilemma with 
>fossil fuels vs. alternative energies...

>The moral and the observable, part and parcel of a stew of probabilities 
>yet to be successfully modeled in the long range.

I wouldn't put it as a yes/no successful/unsuccessful problem.
That denies the value in modeling that gets better each year.


-- 
Daniel Packman
NCAR/ACD
pack@ucar.edu
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From: pack@eos.ucar.edu (Daniel Packman)
Newsgroups: co.general,alt.politics.usa.republican,alt.politics.usa.constitution.gun-rights,alt.politics.liberalism,co.denver.general
Subject: Re: The assault on the teaching of evolution:
Date: Tue, 28 Dec 2004 05:39:00 +0000 (UTC)
Organization: National Center for Atmospheric Research
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Originator: pack@eos.ucar.edu (Daniel Packman)