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Article #22015

Re: Sanity Check, please

#22015
From: John Hascall
Date: Tue, 09 Jan 1990 21:28
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In article <???> josh@klaatu.rutgers.edu (J Storrs Hall) writes:

}I'd like people's reactions to these predictions on microprocessor
}technology by the turn of the century...
 
}what            1980    1990    extrapolation   2000

}processor
}pins		64	256	x4		1k
}clock		8MHz	32MHz	x4		128MHz
}"Devices"	50k	1M	x20		20M
}mips		1	12	x12		144
}memory(dram)
}bits/chip	16k	1M	x64		64M
}speed		240ns	80ns	/4		20ns
                                ^
                                |
                                +-- Can we assume a linear relationship???
   Perhaps someone could add in a few more data points between '80 and '90.

John Hascall  /  ISU Comp Ctr  /  Ames, IA
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Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!utzoo!utgpu!jarvis.csri.toronto.edu!cs.utexas.edu!uunet!dino!hascall
From: hascall@cs.iastate.edu (John Hascall)
Newsgroups: comp.arch
Subject: Re: Sanity Check, please
Message-ID: <277@dino.cs.iastate.edu>
Date: 9 Jan 90 21:28:44 GMT
References: <Jan.8.22.57.41.1990.234@klaatu.rutgers.edu>
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Organization: Iowa State Univ. Computation Center
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