Article View: sci.math.stat
Article #881Re: Desperate situation
From: John F Blanton
Date: Wed, 27 Jan 1993 15:15
Date: Wed, 27 Jan 1993 15:15
37 lines
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1627 bytes
As promised, here is the solution:
The probability of surviving one round (interesting choice of
words there) is 5/6. The probability of surviving N rounds
is N
p = (5/6)
The probability of surviving N-1 rounds and being killed on the
Nth round is
N-1
p = 1/6 (5/6)
The average lifespan of someone who plays Russian roulette is
N i
L = lim Sum [i (5/6) ]/6
N-->Infinity i=1
N
= lim 1 - (5/6)
N-->Infinity (------------) / 6
2
(1 - 5/6)
= 6.
My thanks to all who submitted solutions. As you can see, I have
left out some steps, and the last limit expression presumes that
the limit of a derivative is the same as the derivative of the
limit. I didn't verify that this is always true, but it turned
out to be true in this case, so I didn't type in the more complicated
limit expression that would have resulted by taking the derivative
first, then computing the limit of the result.
John Blanton
blanton@lobby.ti.com
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<1993Jan27.151537.14520@mksol.dseg.ti.com>Path:
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<1993Jan26.183234.20186@mksol.dseg.ti.com>Show Full Headers
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Newsgroups: sci.math.stat Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!news.univie.ac.at!scsing.switch.ch!univ-lyon1.fr!ghost.dsi.unimi.it!rpi!usc!cs.utexas.edu!csc.ti.com!tilde.csc.ti.com!mksol!blanton From: blanton@mksol.dseg.ti.com (John F Blanton) Subject: Re: Desperate situation Message-ID: <1993Jan27.151537.14520@mksol.dseg.ti.com> Organization: Texas Instruments, Inc References: <1993Jan26.183234.20186@mksol.dseg.ti.com> Date: Wed, 27 Jan 1993 15:15:37 GMT Lines: 37