Article View: sci.physics
Article #8894Re: The Mann and the Hockey Stick
From: Cons
Date: Tue, 10 Apr 2012 01:53
Date: Tue, 10 Apr 2012 01:53
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10096 bytes
"Billy" <wildbilly@withouta.net> wrote in message news:wildbilly-FF165A.14314908042012@nnrp-virt.nntp.sonic.net... > In article <QoGdnbNitoAAkRzSnZ2dnUVZ_qednZ2d@bright.net>, > "SaPeIsMa" <SaPeIsMa@HotMail.com> wrote: > >> "Billy" <wildbilly@withoutta.net> wrote in message >> news:wildbilly-580543.15355306042012@c-61-68-245-199.per.connect.net.au... >> > In article >> > <67401ca8-00a9-4553-9b08-e2cc51c65e45@l18g2000vbx.googlegroups.com>, >> > Jonesie <caseyterry5959@yahoo.com> wrote: >> > >> >> On Apr 5, 7:59 pm, Billy <wildbi...@withoutta.net> wrote: >> >> > In article <eO2dnaVPBqkWdeDSnZ2dnUVZ_smdn...@bright.net>, >> >> > >> >> > >> >> > >> >> > >> >> > >> >> > >> >> > >> >> > >> >> > >> >> > "SaPeIsMa" <SaPeI...@HotMail.com> wrote: >> >> > > "Billy" <wildbi...@withoutta.net> wrote in message >> >> > >news:wildbilly-5076EA.21573204042012@c-61-68-245-199.per.connect.net.au. >> >> > >.. >> >> > > > In article <Y8ednQjhR_VcfOHSnZ2dnUVZ_qgAA...@giganews.com>, >> >> > > > RLW <rlwatk...@gmail.com> wrote: >> >> > >> >> > > >> On Sun, 01 Apr 2012 15:05:30 -0700, Chom Noamsky wrote: >> >> > >> >> > > >> > On 3/31/2012 7:27 PM, RLW wrote: >> >> > > >> >> On Sat, 31 Mar 2012 19:18:28 -0400, Leonard wrote: >> >> > >> >> > > >> >>> Abracadabra, No More Medi๏ฟฝval Warm Period! >> >> > >> >> > > >> >>> The lies behind the failed Hockey Stick >> >> > >> >> > > >> >> <yada, yada, yada> >> >> > >> >> > > >> >> I'm starting to get the impression that few posting here >> >> > > >> >> actually >> >> > > >> >> know >> >> > > >> >> what the "hockey stick" graph was intended to represent: >> >> > > >> >> runaway, >> >> > > >> >> nearly limitless increase in surface temperature. >> >> > >> >> > > >> >> A) We know that's wrong. >> >> > >> >> > > >> >> B) We know that the troposphere is getting warmer. >> >> > >> >> > > >> >> (A) does nothing to disprove (B). Indeed, (B) is something >> >> > > >> >> *observed*, >> >> > > >> >> not a matter open to debate. >> >> > >> >> > > >> >> (B) means that a lot of weather patterns will change and a lot >> >> > > >> >> of >> >> > > >> >> ice >> >> > > >> >> will melt. This doesn't mean Humanity will die off, but it >> >> > > >> >> will be >> >> > > >> >> very damn' expensive and inconvenient for a good many folks. >> >> > >> >> > > >> >> I'll hate having to explain to my grandkids that everyone stood >> >> > > >> >> around >> >> > > >> >> debating whether it was happening instead of figuring out what >> >> > > >> >> impact >> >> > > >> >> it will have and how to solve some of the attendant problems. >> >> > >> >> > > >> > The assumption is it that warming will be all bad. How many >> >> > > >> > studies >> >> > > >> > have been done on the potential benefits of global warming? >> >> > > >> > What it >> >> > > >> > comes down to is the cost of adaption versus the cost of >> >> > > >> > correction. >> >> > > >> > That's assuming it can be corrected, and in the view of a >> >> > > >> > substantial >> >> > > >> > portion of the scientific community the results would be modest >> >> > > >> > or >> >> > > >> > negligible at best. >> >> > >> >> > > >> > The big problem is elements of the political sphere have been >> >> > > >> > trying >> >> > > >> > their best to hook irrelevant agendas to climate change, and to >> >> > > >> > exploit >> >> > > >> > it as a tool to push things that wouldn't get backing otherwise. >> >> > > >> > Get >> >> > > >> > people alarmed, induce feelings of insecurity, then they'll be >> >> > > >> > less >> >> > > >> > resistant when it comes to unpopular causes that have little or >> >> > > >> > nothing >> >> > > >> > to do with climate change. >> >> > >> >> > > >> > It's interesting that the Darrell Kaufman study showed climate >> >> > > >> > has >> >> > > >> > been >> >> > > >> > experiencing a long term cooling trend, starting about 2,000 >> >> > > >> > years >> >> > > >> > ago, >> >> > > >> > and was projected to go on another 4,000 years. Is it possible >> >> > > >> > we're >> >> > > >> > actually better off with a little warming? Quite possibly we've >> >> > > >> > averted >> >> > > >> > a future LIA... >> >> > >> >> > > >> I'm not even assuming that the effects will be all bad. The first >> >> > > >> benefits which come to mind are to shipping and farmers in Canada. >> >> > > >> Still, >> >> > > >> any sort of large-scale reorganization of society is costly, so >> >> > > >> we'd >> >> > > >> best >> >> > > >> be puzzling out the details now, before it becomes an immediate >> >> > > >> problem. >> >> > >> >> > > > Oh, the sweet security of innocence. >> >> > > > <http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=hit-them-with-the-h >> >> > > > o.. >> >> > > > .> >> >> > >> >> > > Or is that the sweet security of stupidity >> >> > > Too bad that "hockey stick" is broken. >> >> > >> >> > Citation, please, or are you so stoopid as to think your opinion is >> >> > fact? >> >> >> >> >> >> He doesn't need citations. Nor more than Lord Monckton needs a >> >> degree in science. >> > >> > I know. He just shovels the "facts" out of his backside as he needs them. >> > >> >> Funny how I did give you bozos a nice page full of cites. >> But then warmistas are generally stupid and uneducated, and consider AGW as >> some new "religion" >> > > Let's see, making people laugh isn't a bad thing, so I'll let that > slide, but the page of citations that you offered requires some vetting. > So let's look into your hungarian chamber pot and see what's there. > The cite you gave was > <http://www.google.com/search?aq=2&oq=hockey+stick+global+warming&ix=seb& > sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8&q=hockey+stick+global+warming+debunked> > which translates into a query for "hockey stick global warming debunked". > You were only looking for denier sites, weasel. > > When you google the neutral phrase "hockey stick global warming", you > get a page of pros & cons. > <https://www.google.com/search?q=hockey+stick+global+warming&ie=utf-8&oe= > utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a> > So it appears that you, much like your chamber pot, are full of crap. > > There is even an informative interview with Michael Manning where he > debunks the deniers, and trashes your "Little Ice Age, and Medieval > Warming Period" conundrum in only a few words. > > <http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=behind-the-hockey-stick >> > More recently, Mann battled back in a 2004 corrigendum in the journal > Nature, in which he clarified the presentation of his data. He has also > shown how errors on the part of his attackers led to their specific > results. For instance, skeptics often cite the Little Ice Age and > Medieval Warming Period as pieces of evidence not reflected in the > hockey stick, yet > these extremes are examples of regional, > not global, phenomena. > "From an intellectual point of view, these contrarians are pathetic, > because there's no scientific validity to their arguments whatsoever," > Mann says. "But they're very skilled at deducing what sorts of > disingenuous arguments and untruths are likely to be believable to the > public that doesn't know better." > > Mann thinks that the attacks will continue, because many skeptics, such > as the Greening Earth Society and the Tech Central Station Web site, > obtain funds from petroleum interests. "As long as they think it works > and they've got unlimited money to perpetuate their disinformation > campaign," Mann believes, "I imagine it will go on, just as it went on > for years and years with tobacco until it was no longer tenable--in > fact, it became perjurable to get up in a public forum and claim that > there was no science" behind the health hazards of smoking. > > (cont.) > ----- > > So as you see, my little chamber pot, only your intellect has failed. > The hockey stick is alive and well. > --------- > > -- > "Fascism should more properly be called corporatism because it is the > merger of state and corporate power." > - attributed to Benito Mussolini. > <http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYIC0eZYEtI> > <http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b_vN0--mHug>
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From: "Cons@minority#s" <Cons@minority#s.ca>
Newsgroups: sci.physics,alt.global-warming,ca.politics,alt.politics
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Subject: Re: The Mann and the Hockey Stick
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