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Article #30

Re: Smith-Tuttle Comet a threat to earth?

#30
From: Steinn Sigurdsson
Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1992 10:35
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In article <YAMAUCHI.92Oct26235611@yuggoth.ces.cwru.edu> yamauchi@ces.cwru.edu (Brian Yamauchi) writes:

   In article <STEINLY.92Oct26125854@topaz.ucsc.edu> steinly@topaz.ucsc.edu (Steinn Sigurdsson) writes:
   >In article <1992Oct26.184231.1@cc.helsinki.fi> tavaila@cc.helsinki.fi writes:

   >The current best solution has it missing the Earth in July 2126,
   >but a 15 day delay places it on collision on August 14th.
   >As a matter of interest, the best orbit fit for its return once
   >it was realised which returning comet it was off by 17 days.

   >Swift-Tuttle is
   >virtually certain to hit the Earth at some point during the next
   >few million years

   >As is we can't even rendezvous with
   >the thing, would be nice to put a transceiver on it for future
   >reference ;-)

   Maybe this would be a good justification for reviving CRAF -- complete
   with penetrator. :-)

Hmm, last I checked I don't think CRAF was up to a delta v of 50 km/s
or is this a incipient resurgence of the never-ending ion drive thread ;-)

   Of course, it's too late for Swift-Tuttle, but surely we can find
   another Earth-crossing comet which is posing an imminent threat to
   all life on the planet...

Probably can, but most will be dominated by Jupiter perturbations,
Swift-Tuttle doesn't look like it's going anywhere (caveat: this is
guesstimate from eyeballing the orbit parameters, somebody will
actually have to find out for real bu integrating the sucker),
ie it will keep coming by until it hits as far as I can tell, but
that's most probably a few million years off...

*  Steinn Sigurdsson   			Lick Observatory      	*
*  steinly@lick.ucsc.edu		"standard disclaimer"  	*
*  The laws of gravity are very,very strict			*
*  And you're just bending them for your own benefit - B.B. 1988*
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From: steinly@topaz.ucsc.edu (Steinn Sigurdsson)
Newsgroups: sci.space
Subject: Re: Smith-Tuttle Comet a threat to earth?
Date: 27 Oct 92 10:35:31
Organization: Lick Observatory/UCO
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In-reply-to: yamauchi@ces.cwru.edu's message of 26 Oct 92 23:56:11