Re: Final Question for Sylvia Else (Inability to fullfill contract)

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Article #5293

#5293

From: Sylvia Else
Date: Sun, 19 Sep 2010 06:47

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On 19/09/2010 2:48 PM, |-|ercules wrote:
> "Richard Cornford" <Richard@litotes.demon.co.uk> wrote
>>
>> It is still far too small a test set for this protocol, but if the
>> effect was significant you would expect to see 5 out of 5 being a
>> common enough result to have already shown up. If the effect is no
>> more than "better than random" then it would probably take at least a
>> few hundred samples to decide the issue.
>
>
> I suggest a 3 question set in future. It will detect the subtle answers
> more readily.
>
> 0/3 -> 2 possibilities -> bottom 33.3%
> 1/3 -> 3 possibilities -> top 66.6% (2 chances out of 3 to score 1 or
> more right)
> 3/3 -> 1 possibility -> top 16.6%
>
> I can do 3 sets of 3 questions per day.
>
> I have to work out a FAIL benchmark.
>
> A PASSMARK will just be accumulating the odds broken until I reach the
> required 1,000,000:1.

It's not clear what you mean by a FAIL benchmark in this context, but it 
sounds like you want to be allowed to continue until you suceed, but 
then argue that that sucess had only a 1 in one million probability of 
being by chance.

Remember that you claim to have detected this power within yourself. It 
cannot be so dilute as to require complicated statistical analysis of 
extended data sets to demonstrate its existence, or you'd never have 
noticed it.

Sylvia.

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From: Sylvia Else <sylvia@not.here.invalid>
Newsgroups: sci.skeptic,aus.legal,misc.legal,aus.tv,alt.paranormal
Subject: Re: Final Question for Sylvia Else (Inability to fullfill contract)
Date: Sun, 19 Sep 2010 16:47:29 +1000
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